The UFC is back in action tonight, with a full card of bouts at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.. The prelims kick off at 5:00 PM ET, leading directly into a massive main event walkout scheduled for approximately 9:20 PM ET.

My favorite targets on the board involves fading low-volume strikers and attacking heavily juiced favorites with specific method-of-victory props. Whether you want to back a heavily hyped prospect or cash in on a live underdog, let’s dive into the odds and my card predictions.

I have combed through the full UFC Fight Night prelims odds to find the most exploitable lines on the early slate. Here are my favorite UFC Fight Night prelims predictions, picks and best bets, including Nakamura vs Hiestand.

Odds as of fight week at BetMGM . Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC Fight Night on Saturday.

The UFC Fight Night prelims odds are top-heavy with chalk. Jauregui at -909, Castaneda at -400, and Nakamura at -385 are the three shortest prices on the early slate, which is exactly why the value sits in the method-of-victory markets rather than the moneyline.

Brener vs Harrell at +105/-125 is the only true pick’em on the prelims, with Bellato vs Edwards odds the next closest. The distance markets tell the same story, with Bryczek vs Vieira priced at -286 to end inside the limit.

These two bantamweights have history, previously meeting back in August 2018 where Simon secured a unanimous decision. However, Jackson has evolved significantly since eating that loss.

Simon still relies heavily on mixing strikes with timely wrestling. He landed two takedowns against Adrian Yanez and secured a massive 9:13 of control time with three takedowns against Cameron Smotherman.