The Baltimore Ravens meet the Dallas Cowboys at Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro for a unique international kickoff. The contest takes place on September 27, 2026, at 4:25 PM ET, broadcasting on CBS and Paramount+. Both squads own a 1-1 record early in the regular season. Dallas enters off a victory in their previous matchup, while Baltimore seeks to rebound from a recent loss.

From a market perspective, the Ravens sit as road favorites despite the neutral site and international travel. Baltimore features an elite quarterback and running back combination, dictating the game script against a Dallas roster embracing the underdog role. This breakdown isolates the premier betting values, highlighting positional mismatches, player props, and public handle distribution.

Backing the Ravens on the moneyline is backed by a massive, multi-year mismatch in trench play and defensive stability. While Dallas has shown high situational efficiency early in 2026, their run defense remains fundamentally broken against physical rushing attacks, having surrendered 173.5 rushing yards per game through two weeks after ranking in the bottom half of the league by allowing over 125 rushing yards per game throughout 2025. Conversely, Baltimore’s defense has consistently suffocated opponent ground games across seasons, giving up just 80.1 rushing yards per game in 2024, 106.6 in 2025, and a stingy 83.5 in 2026.

This asymmetry allows Baltimore to control the clock, neutralize Dallas’ one-dimensional offense, and force Dak Prescott into predictable passing situations against heavy pressure. When these two teams met in 2024, the Ravens dictated terms from start to finish on the ground in a 28-25 road victory. Trading at 63¢ on Kalshi compared to traditional -182 sportsbook moneyline prices, Baltimore offers tremendous value to secure the outright win on a neutral field.

The case for the Over goes well beyond the first two weeks of 2026, as both teams have operated as high-octane offensive machines paired with exploitable secondaries over the past three seasons. Dallas averaged 27.7 points per game in 2025 while routinely playing in shootouts due to a defense that surrendered 30.1 points and 265.9 passing yards per game. That high-scoring dynamic has carried directly over into 2026, with the Cowboys scoring 28.5 points per contest while leaning heavily on Dak Prescott’s volume.

Meanwhile, Baltimore has ranked among the NFL’s premier scoring offenses since 2024, averaging over 30 points per game in 2024 and 29.0 points per game through two weeks in 2026 behind Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. With Dallas possessing the playmakers in CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens to challenge Baltimore’s secondary, and the Ravens capable of scoring at will against Dallas’ porous run defense, both units possess clear paths to 27+ points. Getting even money at 50¢ on Kalshi for Over 53.5 provides an ideal entry on what projects as a fast-paced shootout.

Derrick Henry enters this matchup with an elite statistical profile against a Cowboys defensive front that cannot slow him down. In his most recent meeting with Dallas in Week 3 of 2024, Henry shredded the Cowboys for 151 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries (6.04 yards per attempt). Dallas’ run-stopping woes have persisted ever since, culminating in a 2026 defense that is coughing up 173.5 rushing yards per game and over 5.2 yards per carry to opposing backfields.

Henry’s volume floor in Baltimore’s system remains arguably the highest in the NFL. Over his last eight regular-season games dating back to 2025, Henry has surpassed 92.5 rushing yards six times, including massive single-game outputs of 144, 126, 216, 128, 100, and 103 yards. As heavy favorites on a neutral track where Baltimore will look to establish physical dominance, Henry is primed for 18 to 25 carries against one of the league’s most vulnerable run defenses, making 92.5 yards a very reachable bar.