The Week 4 college football slate is loaded with marquee matchups and I can’t wait to watch them all. Texas heads to Tennessee and Oregon visits USC on Saturday, to headline the day. Those road tests are the main attractions in my Week 4 college football prediction market picks, with TCU at UCF providing another matchup worth watching.

I’m focusing on outright winners here. The selection has to win the game, regardless of the margin, and the contract price determines how much that outcome costs to back.

Below are my three favorite college football Week 4 prediction market picks, including the best Kalshi and Polymarket bets.

Prices checked September 24th for Saturday’s games. Compare available prediction market apps before placing a trade.

I’m backing Texas to handle its first trip to Neyland Stadium. Heisman Trophy odds candidate Arch Manning has already helped the Longhorns through a difficult finish this season, leading three straight touchdown drives in their 24-23 comeback win over Ohio State on September 12.

Those drives required more than one big play. Each covered at least 72 yards and lasted at least 12 plays. Texas followed that result with a 30-6 win over UTSA, and I like its chances of putting together enough sustained possessions to win in Knoxville.

Tennessee is a much harder road assignment than that latest home game. The Vols also enter unbeaten after beating Kennesaw State 42-9. I prefer backing Texas outright to asking it to cover a spread in front of this crowd.

Readers comparing Texas prediction markets should check the live buy quote. The 64¢ display is the price available right now, but that is subject to change leading up to kickoff.