UCLA (4-0) takes its unbeaten record to Autzen Stadium against No. 13 Oregon (3-1) on October 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET on CBS. Oregon is coming off a 41-27 road win over USC, while UCLA just defeated Maryland 54-3.

The market has made Oregon a substantial home favorite, but UCLA brings a productive ground game and a five-game winning streak dating back to last season. Here are my UCLA vs. Oregon prediction, updated prediction market odds, and best-bet analysis.

My UCLA vs Oregon prediction is Oregon -10.5. The 50¢ price gives the spread a roughly even split, and I think the home-field advantage and defensive matchup give the Ducks the better side.

The biggest news of the week was Oregon ruling quarterback Dante Moore out. Dylan Raiola now takes the starting snaps after going 19-for-25 for 289 yards and two touchdowns in relief against USC. That change adds uncertainty, but Raiola showed enough pocket presence to keep Oregon’s offense dangerous.

Oregon is 28-2 at home under head coach Dan Lanning. UCLA’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 281.5 rushing yards per game at 6.95 yards per carry, but there is a sample-size concern: the Bruins’ first four opponents have a combined 8-12 record.

Wayne Knight leads UCLA’s ground attack with 111.3 rushing yards per game and nine touchdowns. Oregon, however, has held opponents to a 21.2% third-down conversion rate, allowing only 11 conversions on 52 attempts. If the Ducks limit UCLA’s early-down rushing success, the Bruins could face more obvious passing situations against an aggressive defense.

Prices/Odds captured Saturday, October 10 at 11:34 AM ET, and available on Kalshi. Prediction market prices can change; compare current prices across relevant prediction market apps .

The Oregon moneyline is priced at 79¢, while UCLA is at 22¢. The spread is close to a coin flip, with Oregon -10.5 at 50¢ and UCLA +10.5 at 51¢. The total is also narrowly tilted toward the Under, with Under 58.5 at 52¢ versus 49¢ for the Over. A winning contract pays $1 before fees; a 52¢ entry is approximately -108 in American odds.