The AFC North rivalry heats up as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to take on the Cleveland Browns in a highly anticipated Week 4 clash. Entering the matchup as road favorites, Pittsburgh will look to assert divisional dominance against a home underdog aiming to protect their field.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET / 5:15 PM PT Thursday night, at Huntington Bank Field, with this primetime showdown broadcast nationally on Amazon Prime Video and TSN in Canada.

While the public is heavily backing certain outcomes, professional bettors are actively laying their stakes on the other side of the aisle. I always look to see where the tickets are landing versus where the actual cash is flowing. Let’s break down the NFL public betting trends driving the action for this primetime tilt.

Taking a look at the distribution across NFL betting apps , Pittsburgh commands the lion’s share of the action across multiple markets. Bettors are heavily backing the road squad on the moneyline, indicating a slight sharp signal favoring the favorites with a higher handle than ticket percentage.

A similar trend is evident against the spread, where the favorites are taking in more cash than tickets to cover the three-point number. Meanwhile, the game total is seeing incredibly one-sided volume. A staggering amount of the bet and money percentages are pouring in on the Over.

With the handle and ticket counts aligned so closely on the total, it appears that both casual bettors and sharp money are united in anticipating more offensive production than the 38.5-point NFL odds suggest.

When evaluating this Week 4 AFC North showdown, the betting public has drawn a clear line in the sand. They are backing Pittsburgh to cover the spread and expecting a shootout that pushes the game Over the 38.5-point total.

But should you follow the crowd, or is there value in fading the consensus? Here is why I split my strategy by tailing the public on the spread while confidently fading them on the total.