Oregon got the win it needed against USC. It just had to do most of the work without its starting quarterback.

Dante Moore left in the second quarter, and Dylan Raiola took the keys from there. Now bettors have to figure out where the Ducks stand in the CFP National Championship Odds with their QB’s status still unknown.

Here’s where Oregon sits in the Big Ten and national title markets, and what we know about Moore so far.

The Ducks beat USC 41-27 to move to 3-1, handing the Trojans their first loss of the year. Here’s how Kalshi priced Oregon once the game went final.

Each Kalshi contract pays $1 if you’re right and nothing if you’re wrong. Oregon’s 17¢ Big Ten price implies a 17% chance and converts to approximately +488 in American moneyline odds . That means a $100 purchase would earn about $488 in profit if Oregon wins the conference, plus your money back, before fees.

These are moneyline equivalents of Kalshi buy prices, not sportsbook quotes. The cards below show market percentages, which can differ from the price to buy. Trading fees also apply.

Kalshi YES buy prices as of late Sept. 26 ET. New users can claim the Kalshi promo code before trading college football futures.

At 17¢, Oregon’s Big Ten odds give the Ducks roughly a one-in-six shot. The schedule has a clear pressure point. After home dates with UCLA on Oct. 10 and Nebraska on Oct. 17, Oregon visits Illinois and then hosts Northwestern.