Only one time in the current MLB playoff format has a team come back to win their Wild Card series after dropping Game 1. Philadelphia aims to be the second club to accomplish the feat on Thursday, when they face Atlanta in a do-or-die Game 3.

Philly forced the series deciding matchup with a come from behind, extra innings victory in Game 2, but prediction markets don’t like their chances of moving onto the next round. They’ve pegged the Braves as moneyline favorites in the latest MLB odds , in what should be a high-scoring affair.

First pitch for Game 3 goes down Thursday afternoon at 2 pm ET from Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA, with NBC handling the broadcast coverage. The winner will advance to the NLDS, where the defending champion Dodgers await.

Odds and prices taken from Kalshi and converted to American odds. Claim the Kalshi promo code for a bonus to use on the MLB Playoffs.

Atlanta began Wednesday with the second shortest NL Pennant odds , so another upset by Philadelphia would turn some heads. The Braves opened as -113 moneyline favorites for Game 3, with the Phillies coming back as -104 underdogs.

As always, before making any wager, scan the best prediction market apps to find the most favorable odds.

Although starting pitchers have not been confirmed, the belief is Philadelphia will roll with Aaron Nola. The Phillies were hoping to trot veteran Zack Wheeler out against the World Series odds contender, but he’s not ready to go after pitching in the regular season finale on Sunday. That means Nola will get the ball, which must be music to the Atlanta batters ears.

The Braves absolutely teed off on Nola this year, racking up 17 hits, 9 runs and 4 dingers in 18 innings per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats . Nola has especially struggled against the meat of the Atlanta order, surrendering 16 home runs in his career to Matt Olson, Ronald Acuna Jr. and Austin Riley. The 33-year-old is coming off his second straight disappointing season, posting a 7-12 record, with a 4.67 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.