The undefeated Georgia Bulldogs (6-0, 4-0 SEC) welcome the Auburn Tigers (3-2, 1-2 SEC) to Sanford Stadium on Saturday, October 17, at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN. Georgia arrives off a 20-17 win at Alabama on October 10, while Auburn is coming off a bye following a 24-14 loss to Tennessee on October 3.

The most glaring contrast lies in the turnover battle. The Bulldogs have built a +6 turnover differential, with 11 takeaways against just five giveaways. Auburn sits on the other side of that ledger, coughing up the football nine times through its first five games.

That ball-security gap leaves the road underdogs vulnerable in a hostile environment. Below, I unpack the key statistical mismatches, the contrast under center and my Auburn vs Georgia picks using the latest Kalshi prices.

My Auburn vs Georgia prediction is Georgia -18.5, priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. The Bulldogs are generating 46.2 points and 474.8 total yards per game, while Auburn is surrendering 357.2 total yards per outing and scoring 26.8 points of its own.

The efficiency metrics support a comfortable Georgia margin in this rivalry. Georgia extends drives by converting 54.7% of its third downs, keeping its passing and rushing attacks balanced. Its defense has been just as sharp, allowing only 14.0 points and 261.5 total yards per game.

Quarterback Gunner Stockton has completed 95 of 124 passes for 1,298 yards, 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Auburn’s Byrum Brown has thrown for 1,055 yards and seven touchdowns on 104 of 159 passing, but his seven interceptions are a real liability against a Georgia defense with 11 takeaways.

The table underlines Georgia’s edge on both sides of the ball, with a nearly 20-point scoring gap and a 96-yard difference in total defense. Auburn’s offense moves the ball respectably, but its turnover problems keep undercutting that production.

Friday’s SEC availability report lists Xavier Atkins, Tai Buster and Hunter Herring out for Auburn. Georgia will be without Thomas Blackshear, KJ Bolden, Chauncey Bowens, Isiah Canion, Amaris Williams and Tyriq Green. Even with absences on both sides, my final Auburn vs Georgia prediction is the Bulldogs building a multi-possession lead at home.