Week 7 of the 2026 college football season brings real College Football Playoff stakes and a loaded Saturday slate. All four games on this ticket kick off at noon ET on October 17, so the whole thing gets settled by mid-afternoon.

There’s value on spreads and totals this week, but I’m skipping both for this longshot college football parlay today. Instead, I’m backing four underdogs to win outright, all on the moneyline and all in one BetMGM parlay.

I leaned on turnover numbers, run defense and quarterback production to find the spots where I think an upset is live. Here’s the ticket, the odds and the math on a $10 bet.

Odds as of October 17, 2026, via BetMGM. New users can check the latest BetMGM promo code before building the parlay.

The Indiana Hoosiers host Ohio State at Memorial Stadium (noon ET, FOX) with one of the country’s best offenses, averaging 40.2 points per game. Quarterback Josh Hoover has been close to perfect in 2026, completing 68.2% of his passes for 1,364 yards, 17 touchdowns and zero interceptions.

Ohio State has a dangerous passing game behind Julian Sayin, but Indiana’s defense has been just as impressive as its offense. The Hoosiers allow only 75.0 rushing yards and 263.5 total yards per game. If that defense keeps the Buckeyes one-dimensional and Hoover keeps protecting the ball, Indiana has a strong case to win this one at home.

This is the biggest price on the ticket, and the Bulldogs have the offense to back it up. Mississippi State piles up 487.0 total yards per game and averages 309.2 passing yards per game as a team. Quarterback Kamario Taylor has thrown for 1,450 yards and 17 touchdowns in five games, good for 290.0 yards per game.

LSU has had trouble holding onto the football. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown 8 interceptions, part of 10 total team turnovers. Mississippi State can move the ball through the air against anyone on its schedule, and if Leavitt gives the Bulldogs extra possessions in this noon ET kickoff on ESPN, a road upset is very much in play.