The Yankees have a postseason spot, but their biggest question is who will be in the lineup. Aaron Judge is back on the injured list, and New York is preparing to begin its playoff run without its captain.

The uncertainty has hit the Yankees World Series odds on Kalshi. New York is now priced at 8% to win the title, down from 12% before Judge’s calf injury.

Below, I break down the latest odds, what Aaron Boone has said about Judge’s return and how much the Yankees have missed his bat this season.

The Yankees World Series odds above have taken a beating. New York was trading at 12% to win it all on Kalshi before Judge got hurt. That price dropped to 9% as soon as the injury news hit, and it’s now down to 8%.

An 8¢ price works out to roughly +1150 in American odds before fees. The AL Championship market took a hit too, with the Yankees sliding from 25% to 20%.

Traditional books have made a similar move. New York is +850 at DraftKings in the latest World Series odds , fourth behind the Dodgers, Brewers and Rays. That means Kalshi is actually offering the longer price on the Pinstripes right now.

Judge felt something in his right leg after the first inning against the Twins on September 16. He played through it until Boone pulled him for a pinch hitter in the sixth.

An MRI in Phoenix revealed a right calf strain, and the Yankees placed him on the 10-day IL retroactive to Thursday. Boone described it as a moderate strain. Judge also received a platelet-poor plasma injection during Monday’s off day.